Low interest rates
Despite interest rate increases over parts of 2007 we are still (and have been
for a very long time) in a period of relatively low interest rates. Current
rates of 5.25% are still incredibly low considering in the late 1980s and early
80s rates were well into double figures, reaching 15%. This had a critical
affect on people monthly mortgage repayments, causing wide numbers of mortgage
defaults and repossessions.
Limited supply of housing
Unlike many other countries (for example the United States) the UK is actually a
very small space geographically considering how many people live here. Space to
build new housing, particularly in urban areas is extremely limited. This has
the simple effect of limiting the supply of new housing that comes on to the
market
Increased demand for property
With a growing population demand has never been higher. Many people cite the
large numbers of immigrants moving to the United Kingdom from Eastern Europe as
having a huge effect on the demand for housing. Even if these migrant workers do
not buy, they still need to live somewhere, namely in rented or buy to let
accommodation.
The net affect of this increase in demand and limited supply will obviously push
prices higher. Obviously the higher property prices move, the less affordable
housing is to those with low incomes. However prices have not fallen? The reason
may be explained buy the recent boom in buy to let property purchases. Many
individuals on relatively high incomes have entered the buy to let market and
become landlords. More often than not their prospective tenants are those on low
incomes that simply can't afford to buy.
As can be seen there are many reasons why the housing market may not be destined
for a crash. Although a slowing economy may have an effect the fundamental
indicate that a crash may not be the certainty that some people feel is just
around the corner.